Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.450282 4.029554 4.692014 5.509116 6.494554 7.650505 9.117697
2025-02-02 2.658651 3.415737 4.383112 5.725248 7.563426 10.028444 13.645123
2025-02-09 2.271568 3.106460 4.254697 5.980669 8.564613 12.380444 18.617555
2025-02-16 1.962605 2.817166 4.062183 6.057307 9.268885 14.408183 23.621542
2025-02-23 1.741385 2.604102 3.924274 6.160346 9.997127 16.595666 29.472467
2025-03-02 1.535687 2.376561 3.717682 6.099328 10.418494 18.333833 35.006449
2025-03-09 1.402529 2.241050 3.631440 6.214240 11.154869 20.789924 42.693201
2025-03-16 1.263820 2.075400 3.466863 6.154781 11.543653 22.652802 49.721917
2025-03-23 1.152824 1.941575 3.336543 6.131970 11.991653 24.733689 57.963530
2025-03-30 1.044896 1.799293 3.170564 6.009787 12.204617 26.346696 65.623089
2025-04-06 0.979613 1.726112 3.122279 6.113963 12.924876 29.306904 78.041146
2025-04-13 0.895231 1.607481 2.971280 5.978152 13.072210 30.908868 87.213533
2025-04-20 0.863412 1.595674 3.049302 6.399000 14.756038 37.301740 115.653522
2025-04-27 0.813850 1.545100 3.046752 6.655423 16.156095 43.617385 148.718718
2025-05-04 0.773808 1.507374 3.063681 6.959428 17.773864 51.268274 192.810152
2025-05-11 0.722071 1.437917 2.999827 7.050701 18.832191 57.645894 237.240168
2025-05-18 0.678304 1.379677 2.952043 7.173469 20.028313 65.078365 293.830118
2025-05-25 0.627234 1.298877 2.839679 7.100761 20.603193 70.563034 346.330999
2025-06-01 0.593687 1.253423 2.805171 7.237704 21.914146 79.620309 430.085906
2025-06-08 0.552437 1.185283 2.705188 7.166837 22.502498 86.047402 505.938111
2025-06-15 0.517526 1.128091 2.624975 7.139654 23.249780 93.651933 601.360142
2025-06-22 0.480574 1.061968 2.513007 6.994102 23.520455 99.249266 690.601554
2025-06-29 0.458724 1.030331 2.487704 7.118197 24.892967 111.233243 856.386221